Trump tariffs boost rare earth stocks, signaling supply chain shifts

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By Lucas Rossi

Rare earth metal equities experienced a significant resurgence following pronouncements from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding potential tariffs on Chinese goods. This development underscores the strategic importance of these critical minerals and highlights the intricate geopolitical dynamics influencing global supply chains. Companies involved in the extraction and processing of rare earths, particularly those operating outside of China, have seen their market valuations bolstered by the prospect of altered trade landscapes.

Several key players in the sector demonstrated notable gains. Australian rare earths leader Lynas Rare Earths (LYSDY) saw its stock price advance by over 2%. Concurrently, USA Rare Earth, a firm focused on establishing a domestic magnet supply chain, and MP Materials (MP), North America’s foremost producer of strategic metals, experienced pre-market increases of 23% and 11%, respectively. Australian Strategic Materials (ASM), a producer of critical metals, also witnessed a substantial surge, with its shares climbing by more than 30%. These movements followed earlier rallies on Friday, triggered by President Trump’s warnings of significant countermeasures against China.

President Trump, via Truth Social, articulated his stance, stating, “Things are happening in China! They are getting very hostile… I will be forced, as President of the United States of America, to financially counter their move… One of the policies we are evaluating right now is a very large increase in tariffs on Chinese products coming into the United States. There are many other countermeasures also under serious consideration.” This rhetoric directly influences market sentiment regarding the future availability and cost of rare earth materials.

Beijing’s proposed export controls represent an escalation of policies previously introduced in April, which focused on strategic minerals. The latest measures, however, could extend to products containing even trace amounts of these materials. This broadens their potential impact, affecting supply chains crucial for sectors such as defense, robotics, and electric vehicles within the United States. Interestingly, Chinese competitors also saw positive market performance, with JL Mag Rare-Earth rising over 17% and China Northern Rare Earth Group increasing by 10%.

Market analysts have indicated that the recent market activity highlights the significant dependence of the United States on China for its rare earth supply, with China accounting for approximately 70% of U.S. imports. Consequently, the potential 100% tariffs contemplated by President Trump could not only escalate costs for American manufacturers reliant on these imports but also serve as a catalyst for accelerating domestic mining and production efforts.

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