Bezos: AI investment a high-yield, speculative bubble

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By Lucas Rossi

Amazon Chairman Jeff Bezos describes the booming investment in Artificial Intelligence as a high-yield, yet speculative, bubble. This situation, similar to past technological and biotech booms, involves a mix of genuine innovation and speculative ventures, posing risks for capital investment.

According to Bloomberg, Bezos believes the current AI excitement is leading to a broad, unfocused flow of capital. Companies in the AI sector are reportedly receiving funding regardless of the strength of their technology or the actual progress of their products. This indiscriminate funding makes it difficult for investors to distinguish between solid business models and more opportunistic ventures, raising concerns about potential capital loss.

Despite these investment risks, Bezos remains confident in AI’s transformative power. He believes AI will fundamentally change every industry and significantly boost global business productivity. This view echoes historical technological trends, such as the 1990s biotechnology boom, which saw initial market excesses followed by major medical breakthroughs, and the dot-com era, which paved the way for today’s internet giants.

The current investment surge is not limited to direct AI developers but also includes essential supporting infrastructure. Significant capital is being invested in data centers, semiconductor manufacturing, and related application development. Notably, investments are being made in “neocloud” providers even before they have fully developed substantial computing capabilities.

This increased investor activity is reflected in major deals. Reports suggest BlackRock is in talks to acquire Aligned Data Centers for approximately $40 billion. Additionally, OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT, was valued at $500 billion in a recent secondary share sale, making it the world’s most valuable private company.

However, some in the investment community are warning of a potential market overheating. Organizations like GIC have pointed out that the “hype bubble” is particularly evident in early-stage venture capital. Bezos, however, encourages a wider view, stating that market corrections will ultimately leave behind companies that can deliver tangible value and lasting impact. He asserts, “When the dust settles and it becomes clear who the winners are, society will benefit from these inventions.” The long-term benefits of AI for humanity are expected to emerge, even with some investment losses.

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