Why France is Europe’s New Hotspot for Distressed Debt Investing

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By Nathan Morgan

In a period marked by significant economic headwinds, France is witnessing a surge in corporate distress, prompting a keen focus from global financial players. Businesses across various sectors are grappling with unsustainable debt loads and liquidity constraints, pushing many towards complex restructuring processes. This challenging landscape has particularly caught the attention of hedge funds and distressed debt investors, who are actively scouting opportunities within this evolving market.

A substantial number of mid-to-large-cap companies, especially those under private equity ownership, are currently being scrutinized by restructuring advisors and specialized debt investors. Analysts report monitoring approximately 15 to 20 such entities, with the vast majority being private equity-backed, signaling genuine potential for restructuring due to their precarious leverage and cash flow positions. This heightened activity is evident in Paris, where international debt funds, particularly from the UK and US, are frequently engaging with local experts, indicating a significant uptick in interest since the beginning of the year.

Key Companies Under Pressure

Several prominent private equity portfolio companies exemplify this growing vulnerability.

  • Colisée (care home provider, part of EQT) is actively restructuring its debt, or facing imminent risk of doing so.
  • Cerba (lab operator, also part of EQT) is another entity potentially facing similar debt challenges.
  • Emeria (real estate services business, owned by Partners Group) and Ingenico (payments operator, part of Apollo) are also among the heavily indebted private equity-owned firms at risk of requiring restructuring.

The debt instruments of companies like Colisée and Cerba are already trading at distressed levels, reflecting market expectations of significant losses for lenders. This environment creates fertile ground for distressed hedge funds to acquire these assets.

Why France is a Hotspot for Restructuring

The acute situation in France stems from a confluence of factors, making its corporate landscape particularly susceptible to restructuring compared to its European neighbors.

  • Economic Shocks: French businesses have endured a series of cumulative shocks, from initial economic disruptions to subsequent challenges, pushing many to their breaking point.
  • High Debt Levels: The Bank of France indicates that business bankruptcies have reached their highest point since 1991, reflecting widespread financial fragility. Many companies, particularly in vulnerable sectors such as retail and telecoms, carry exceptionally large debt piles.
  • LBO Prevalence: France has a significantly higher number of leveraged buyouts (LBOs) compared to other major European economies like Germany and Italy. Private equity groups’ reliance on substantial debt to acquire companies amplifies financial risk during economic downturns.
  • COVID-19 Legacy: The pandemic period saw many French businesses protected by generous state-backed loans. While these measures prevented immediate collapse, they also deferred necessary deleveraging, leading to a “catch-up effect” where underlying debt issues are now surfacing.

Regulatory Changes Paving the Way

A significant factor attracting international credit investors to France is the implementation of new regulatory changes in 2021. France adopted updated European insolvency legislation, which fundamentally altered the dynamics of corporate restructurings.

This legislation notably weakened the negotiating position of shareholders relative to creditors, fostering a more confrontational approach to settlements. A key mechanism introduced is the “cross-class cramdown,” which allows certain creditors to compel other dissenting lenders into restructuring agreements. This shift has provided a powerful tool for international credit investors, rendering France a more appealing jurisdiction for distressed debt strategies.

Distressed debt hedge funds, predominantly based in the US and UK, capitalize on these legal frameworks. They often seek to acquire stakes in struggling companies by converting debt holdings into equity during the restructuring process, effectively taking control or gaining significant influence over the reorganized entity. This strategy underscores the sentiment among these investors that “there’s a lot to do” in the French market.

Precedent and Future Outlook

France has already experienced several high-profile restructurings in recent years, involving major players such as the retailer Casino, care home provider Orpea, and the telecoms giant Altice. While these previous cases largely focused on listed companies, the current wave of vulnerability is increasingly impacting private equity-owned businesses. The ongoing distress of companies like Casino, whose debt remains deeply troubled even after a substantial restructuring, serves as a stark reminder of the persistent challenges.

As the economic pressures persist and regulatory changes continue to facilitate more aggressive restructuring tactics, the French corporate landscape is set to remain a focal point for global distressed asset investors. The trend of traditional high-yield credit investors offloading risky debt, creating opportunities for specialized distressed hedge funds, is expected to continue.

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